Explore how agricultural productivity has changed—and will continue to change—due to climate change. Use the controls below to switch between observed (historical) and projected (future) changes, and to toggle between absolute and percentage metrics.
Currently viewing: Projected percentage change in agricultural productivity under
IPCC climate projections (SSP5-8.5)SSP5-8.5 is a very high-emissions pathway (4.4°C end-of-century warming) from the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report. We report results under both SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5; observed agricultural deterioration tracks between these two scenarios.. Use the slider to explore different time horizons. Values indicate the percentage change in the
maximum annual number of people who could be fed in each grid cell, relative to the
2001–2020 baseline, holding the
crop mix fixed. Grid cells are 5 arc-minutes (approximately 9.3×9.3 km at the equator).
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